Yes, Perak State Assembly may be Dissolved very soon in order to create political stabitilty there. I feel the present crisis in Perak just Political Strategy by UMNO national leaders to avoid any fresh elections and enable them concentrate all efforts toward upcoming party election.
Let us look into following factors :
1) The Only advantage Barisan Nasional now command is Three Independent Assembly persons. Pakatan Rakyat Government collapsed even with extra three of it’s own assembly persons. If the three decided to leave Pakatan merely because of misunderstanding between party leaders , how long will it take for Independent pulling out their support.
Any Rift between UMNO’s own assembly person( which already seen during appointment of Menteri Besar) will make the situation worse.
Unless UMNO manage to convinence the Three Independent assembly person to join their colition parties or UMNO managed to get more PR assembly persons to their side changes for BN continue governing Perak is very slim.
2) Barisan Nasional’s Menteri Besar possibly could face NO CONFIDENCE Vote the moment State Assembly Convene.
If BN appoint the State Speaker and Deputy Speaker among their elected representatives , they could only survive the Motion with one Vote . Provided all BN supporting representatives present.
BN may appoint outsider as Perak Speaker (most probably not Indian as claimed by MIC) to gain extra vote.
3) Even if Barisan Nasional Survive No Confidence Vote , the changes for the same motion to be tabled again and again looks possible.
4) Barisan Nasional may not able to get any State Bills to be passed effectively as Pakatan Rakyat elected representative will present in full force to ensure it’s really benefitting Rakyat.
5) In order to overcome objections from State Assembly Barisan Nasional State Government may opt to take all matter in their own hands at Weekly Exco Meeting and delay state assembly proceeding to maximum time period allwed.
6) The Government officers may face law suits if the court of law found newly appointed Barisan Nasional Government as illegal.
Barisan Nasional just need few months time to finish off previously unfinished works at Perak before they geared up to face rakyat through election. By holding office UMNO and cronies able to utilize all Government machineries towards Pakatan Rakyat.
Anyway, the chances they dissolve State Assembly very soon likely to happen in near future.
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